4 days ago · Find out more about our PECOTA projections. Read the release notes.

Feb 4, 2025 · PECOTA simulates the season over and over to project what might happen for every team, and there are plenty of noteworthy projections for this year. Remember, standings projections aren't meant to be a perfect crystal ball for exactly how the season will shake out -- they're just an attempt to use all the information we have to find the most likely outcome for …

2 days ago · PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is BP’s proprietary system that projects player and team performance. PECOTA is a system that takes a player’s past performance and tries to project the most likely outcome for the following season.

PECOTA, an acronym for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, [1] is a sabermetric system for forecasting Major League Baseball player performance.

Feb 3, 2025 · Although we think PECOTA already does a fine job projecting pitchers, it is about to become even better. In fact, we expect PECOTA to improve pitcher projection accuracy in 2025 by hundreds of runs, including rookie pitchers.

5 days ago · Orioles: PECOTA still expects the O's to compete for the division title despite losing Corbin Burnes and Anthony Santander. Orioles general manager Mike Elias had a puzzling offseason, failing to ...

Feb 3, 2025 · Baseball Prospectus (BP) has released their PECOTA projections for the 2025 season, and their thousands of simulations project the Minnesota Twins to win the American League Central with 86 wins...

Feb 4, 2025 · The White Sox (100.5) and Miami Marlins (99.9) are the only teams projected by PECOTA for triple-digit losses this season. The Rockies and losing have gone hand-in-hand since the franchise's ...

Sep 2, 2024 · Developed in the early days of legendary analyst Nate Silver's run, PECOTA—short for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm—represented a novel approach to forecasting player performance in Major League Baseball (MLB).

PECOTA is used primarily for projecting the performance of individual players, but it can be applied to entire teams as well to project records. It uses predicted depth charts to establish the projected runs for and against each team, before gleaning a projected win total from that.