J.P. Morgan economist sees 40% US recession chance and risks to 'exorbitant privilege'
There is about a 40% chance of a U.S. recession this year and a risk of lasting damage to the country's standing as an investment destination if the administration undermines trust in U.S. governance,
Recession risks are rising, economists say. Here's what to know.
Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70% of U.S. economic activity, could slowly fade away as households bolster savings to ease the blow of a potential downturn, Sonola said. Meanwhile, businesses could slash their investments, which make up about 15% of gross domestic product, he added.
Will Trump's tariffs and policies send U.S. economy into a recession?
A noncommittal response from President Trump on recession risks has stoked uncertainty over the economy. But some evidence argues against a recession.
Trump’s risky recession dance
Generating ominous headlines about an economic downturn may not seem like a natural path to winning public support for Trump’s “golden age of America.” And it’s left people from Washington to Wall Street wondering what’s really at play.
Trump refuses to rule out a recession as tariffs bite
Donald Trump isn't willing to rule out a possible recession in 2025 as his tariff policy fuels economic concern. Appearing on Fox News' "Sunday Morning Futures," the president was asked if he was expecting a recession,
Trump won’t predict whether US will face 2025 recession, talks tariffs in interview
Asked in an interview with Maria Bartiromo whether the U.S. could soon face a recession, Donald Trump said, "I hate to predict things like that."
Tariffs, Inflation, Government Shutdown Hang Over the Economy as Trump Dodges Recession Questions
Over the past week, the new Trump administration has lost some of its braggadocio when it comes to the economy. Gone are the promises of lowering prices on the first day Donald Trump returned to the White House.
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Trump 2nd term live updates: Trump says 'I don't see' a recession 'at all'
A federal judge on Monday determined that Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency should be subject to the Freedom of Information Act, handing a win to an independent watchdog group that sought to shed light on the budget-slashing agency.
Trump dismisses fears of recession over tariffs
President Donald Trump in recent days has dismissed fears of a recession and brushed aside the stock market sell-off.
Explainer: What’s a recession and why is rising anxiety about it roiling markets?
Stock markets are plunging, consumers and businesses have started to sour on the economy, and economists are marking down ...
What’s a recession? As stock market plunges, here’s what that means and what you can do
The U.S. stiock market has dropped considerably over the last week amid concerns over the impacts of President Donald Trump's ...
Chances of a Trump Recession Just Got a Lot Higher, Analysts Say
Financial analysts are increasing the probability of a recession in 2025 after a day of substantial losses on Wall Street.
Is the US really heading into a recession?
A JP Morgan report put the chance of recession at 40%, up from 30% at the start of the year, warning that US policy was ...
Wait, so are we really headed for a recession?
President Donald Trump says his administration is making “very big” moves and has acknowledged there’s likely a “period of ...
Is the U.S. Headed for a Recession? Here Are the Warning Signs
Recession fears are growing as President Trump doubles down on tariffs for Canada, Mexico and China. Here are the warning ...
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When inflation and recession gang up on the economy
Erratic tariff policy poses risk of both rising prices and high unemployment, says economist Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan.
Trump Walks Back 50% Canada Tariff Threat, Downplays Recession
President Donald Trump dialed back his latest trade-war threat against Canada hours after making it, while downplaying the ...
Are We Suddenly Close To A Recession? Here's What The Data Actually Shows.
Goldman Sachs raised its probability of the U.S. tipping into a recession over the next year on Friday, citing Trump’s ...
Bond yields just flashed the biggest recession warning since the election
A flight to safety amid extreme equity volatility has driven bond yields down, but investors are also eyeing lower yields as ...
What is a recession, and is it possible to prepare for one?
The word "recession" seems to be popping up a lot lately. Economic uncertainty stemming from President Donald Trump's tariffs ...